Jump to content

fx trading


Recommended Posts

can someone give some insight on whats happening when it comes to fx.. for a while now it all seems like its barely moving so i only put a quick scalp in once a week or so an that's basically it. but it seems like everyone sees it as normal, continuing to talk about trade ideas.. how often are fx/futures traders trading?.. as im feeling like i cant catch much opportunities.. if anyone has some tips it'll be appreciated. i usually trade London session on 1 to 4hr time frames.. usually in slow times i just don't trade but its seeming like this for a while now, Ive been relearning stuff but it just feels like im going in circles catching things i learnt a few years back and im not completely sure if its relevant to the current situation.  i also understand about the signing of the trade deal recently/...this week an how coming into big events or recently the end of the year has markets slowing down but what about other times?

Link to comment

i choose fx because it was basically affordable to start off in, Ive been looking at giving futures ago but still learning everything or not getting any where in the last 4 to 5 months so im not trying to jump the gun. mainly go for eur/usd an aud/usd... main reason is because they seem liquid an easy to identify a trend .. aus / dollar is usually safe for me, i feel like it sticks to its track, an have had good trades from it, as well as the eur/usd though.. i got a plan, im not completely sure how to explain it though.. but i look at higher tfs to identify the overall trend go back to lower tfs an try find a point from where itll run in the same direction.. look at events/news to see if it'll help carry it in that direction.. also use rsi and stochastic, wait for rsi to go below or above 50 to decide a buy or sell, look at stochastic over brought or over sold to see if its heading for my preferred direction... i don't trade heading into supply or demand zones..or support an resistance, and also don't trade if the candles spiked at a somewhat decent distance from the 20/50 ema as i have a sense it could pull back...but going by these last bits really seems like you cant pull anything off. ive been thinking of lower time frames like 30 or 15 mins to see i can catch some a bit faster than waiting for the 4hr or sometimes 1 but haven't worked out a plan for a lower tf yet. whats giving me the shits lately is with like eur/usd .. im not sure if its going to continue up further or reverse an carry on down.. but whats getting to me is the waiting ... and i am patient, but this is seeming long, even looking at directions of other pairs nothing seems to move much and i dont know if its just me sitting around, cause it seems like others on the net are actually trading.. or that im waiting on a to high of a time frame which is whats taking longer even though lower time frames seem to not move as well.. cause its all following the same price. i don't know if that's a decent reply/or along the lines of a decent answer to your question but that's where im at.. if i explained it correctly to catch any understanding from it.

Link to comment
2 hours ago, EMDE said:

can someone give some insight on whats happening when it comes to fx.. for a while now it all seems like its barely moving so i only put a quick scalp in once a week or so an that's basically it. but it seems like everyone sees it as normal, continuing to talk about trade ideas.. how often are fx/futures traders trading?.. as im feeling like i cant catch much opportunities.. if anyone has some tips it'll be appreciated. i usually trade London session on 1 to 4hr time frames.. usually in slow times i just don't trade but its seeming like this for a while now, Ive been relearning stuff but it just feels like im going in circles catching things i learnt a few years back and im not completely sure if its relevant to the current situation.  i also understand about the signing of the trade deal recently/...this week an how coming into big events or recently the end of the year has markets slowing down but what about other times?

FX is near historic volatility lows which means little movement and tight ranges making FX very difficult to trade. I've written about this else where on the forum in the past (somewhere). The alternatives are to increase the size of your account and so enable increased bet sizes, concentrate on only the most volatile pairs, concentrate trading around news events where volatility is raised or simply find better markets to trade, indices are doing will at the mo 🙂

https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/why-fx-volatility-has-been-falling-and-what-to-do-about-it-2019-11-08

"there’s no doubt about it – volatility in the foreign exchange markets has been falling recently. The Deutsche Bank historical volatility index of the major G7 currencies, while not quite back to the lows of 2014, is certainly getting there."

image.png.d71bf1db79d9838d82eb3a1edf2e23ae.png

  • Like 2
Link to comment

@TrendFollower yeah summing it up im basically the same as you... follow trends but when you asked about my plan i taken a bit to seriously and explained the ins an outs of it all to see if someone can find faults an correct me.. 4 to 5 months isn't the amount of time Ive been trading its the amount of time i haven't or/ haven't placed many trades. i also try find the strongest pair but usually stick to the two i mentioned. @Caseynotes that's what i had in mind, but i was thinking there's little liquidity making it less volatile/no movement, i also wasn't sure if other traders are still in it.. so Ive kept watching fx pairs... i might have it mixed up on the volatile/liquidity bit. when it comes to indices they seem to have wide spreads... whats the strategy for entering with that? just go for it even with a wide spread?. @TrendFollower no i don't think it was a strong reason/foundation to start on but i made money with it in the past an just stuck with it up until today thinking i could continue.. it would be a better idea to find something that motivates me which ill be looking at now.

Link to comment
4 minutes ago, EMDE said:

@Caseynotes that's what i had in mind, but i was thinking there's little liquidity making it less volatile/no movement, i also wasn't sure if other traders are still in it.. so Ive kept watching fx pairs... i might have it mixed up on the volatile/liquidity bit. when it comes to indices they seem to have wide spreads... whats the strategy for entering with that? just go for it even with a wide spread?.

There is potentially more liquidity available for FX than any other market, just little incentive to use it at the moment (low volatility). Traders have been watching the fundamentals and been quite happy to watch the eurusd go sideways for a year and a half. Choose your markets wisely, Dax and Ftse have a spread of  just 1 point, Dow 1.6 points, also take a look at the main commodities. Yes, stay away from high spreads, they instantly put you at a disadvantage.

  • Like 1
Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...