Jump to content

General chat and market turbulence March 2018


Recommended Posts

How is everyone getting on?

 

Its turned into a pretty horrid time for me! I was fortunate enough to sell quite a lot of low conviction shares and also to free up some cash by selling some parts of my larger gainers (eg WMH) but blimey, its been a rough ride since then.

 

Twitter I think is down abut 15-20%, a huge sell of caused by general market weakness and exacerbated (I believe) by Cambridge Analytica fallout/read across.

My Spreadbet portfolio is taking a hammering due to holding more speculative stocks (BOO and SOS) and I need to shore up the account here to ensure I am not too leveraged, and also because IG recently released an email responding to 'New ESMA rules come into effect from early July' (in a word, Shares margins will rise from 7.5% to 20%. I suppose this could in part be related to general market choppiness if larger positions are being sold down/scaled out of in anticipation of such measures. Any thoughts.

 

On the converse, I noted that CRAW, which I held, then sold for a 40% loss, is today up almost 50%! The market is perhaps still throwing up opportunities, it appears.. This is now selling for a market cap of about £4m IIRC, and booted out the CEO for doing what can only be described as an atrocious job. However the shares have been getting hoovered up. Almost worth a punt at these levels but I have an aversion of buying back into failed stocks! Anyone else get that..

 

WMH continues to hold up, and will no doubt be a Make Or Break point once the government finally announce the plans on gambling imposition/regs. Personally I think the resilience it has shown demonstrates inherent value, and that waiting long enough will see it swallowed up by some other larger conglomerate.


NXR - of which I have written extensively on here, has pulled back further. I think I may have topped up but cannot actually remember if I did(!) I will need to go back and check.

 

I see Bitcoin has dropped further. Who knows what is going on there. I spoke to a colleague the other day who was at a recent Robbie Burns seminar, and apparently a woman there had made £100k on Bitcoin on the way up. I hope she was able to call the top at £20k If she is still holding on, then if it were me I'd be getting very sweaty.

 

The market is chopping around a fair bit and the FTSE100 made it back into sub 7000 levels, and if I am honest I have been too busy (day job *groans*) to monitor it closely or take a position in it. It does seem like a bit of buying is coming back into the market though, and certain stocks have piqued in the last day or two. SHP and SBRY are two I have in mind  right now. A tough question is whether to use this sell off to buy back in or continue to wait on the sidelines. I get the impression it will be one of those years that whatever you choose to do the market will do the opposite. Interesting times indeed.

 

So how are people on here faring up?  Be good to hear how others are doing in these times.

 

I am not going to plug it too much but a really exciting investor conference is coming up soon in Derby, go to Mello2018 to get tickets. I will be there for the whole period and be good to meet anyone who fancies coming along. Message me if you want discount tickets as I may be able to help in that regard.

 

Have a great Easter everyone!

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...