Jump to content

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and GBP/JPY await FED, BoE and BoJ rate decisions


Recommended Posts

EUR/USD consolidates, EUR/GBP tries to break through resistance and GBP/JPY remains slightly bid ahead of this week’s FED, BoE and BoJ central bank meetings.

 
 

EUR/USD consolidates above its $1.0806 multi-year low ahead of FOMC meeting

EUR/USD keeps holding above Friday and Monday’s $1.0902 low, ahead of this week’s US Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting which is likely to lead to a new cycle of rate hikes with an anticipated 25 basis point (bp) increase in the target Fed funds rate.

Failure at $1.0902 would probably lead to last week’s low at $1.0806 being back in the limelight.

While $1.0902 holds, however, a gradual advance back towards the January low and last week’s high at $1.1121 to $1.1122 may ensue. Together with the two-month downtrend line at $1.1149 this area is likely to cap the upside, though. Further up the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) can be spotted at $1.1264.

EUR/USD chartSource: IT-Finance.com

EUR/GBP breaks through four-month downtrend line ahead of BoE rate decision

EUR/GBP has broken through its four-month downtrend line at £0.8428 and risen above last week’s £0.8436 high as investors await the outcome of Wednesday’s Bank of England (BoE) rate decision. The market has priced in a third rate hike in a row, taking the base rate to 0.75%.

The February peak at £0.8478 is now in focus, together with the 200-day SMA at £0.8482.

Potential slips should see support at the late February £0.8408 high and also along the 55-day SMA at £0.8362. 

EUR/GBP chartSource: IT-Finance.com

GBP/JPY is heading back up while awaiting BoE and BoJ meetings

GBP/JPY is likely to continue its recovery from the ¥150.98 early March low and targets the one-month downtrend line, early March high and the 55-day SMA at ¥155.08 to ¥155.23 since the BoE is expected to raise rates by another 25 bp while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is to remain dovish with no change expected.

Minor support is found along the 200-day SMA at ¥153.35 and also between the January and early March lows at ¥152.91 to ¥152.67.

Key support remains to be seen at the current March low at ¥150.98, a slip through which would put the December trough at ¥148.98 back on the map.

GBP/JPY chartSource: IT-Finance.com

Axel Rudolph | Market Analyst, London
15 March 2022
Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...