Jump to content

AUD/USD boosted by surging iron ore price, USD/JPY moves sideways


Recommended Posts

AUD/USD was powered by the surging iron ore price this week while the momentum for USD/JPY has waned.

1646190690264.png
Source: Boomberg
 
 

AUD/USD

The commodity currency was in favour this week, fuelled by the powerful iron ore price's upward momentum. The iron ore price jumped by more than 5% on Tuesday, the third straight day of gain, over rising concerns that a prolonged military tension between Russia and Ukraine could further curb its global supply.

As such, the iron ore Australian-related currency has been pushed towards the highest level of the year at around 0.7289 despite the unchanged interest rate decision from the RBA on Tuesday.

From a technical point of view, the pair of AUD/USD has been skewed into the uprising tunnel since the end of January which could bring the 0.73 level back insight. Current support is found at 0.7261. Below that level, the conjunction that the 20, 50, and 100 days moving average meets around 0.7193 should act as massive support for the pair. However, if broken through, it will press the pause button for AUD/USD's bull.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily ChartSource: IG

USD/JPY

Intensified battle on the land of Ukraine continued to weigh heavily on US and European equities with the US bond yields falling sharply as risk appetite shifted again following the deterioration of global risk sentiment. As a result, the curve steepened as 2-year government bond yields dropped from 1.45% to 1.34%, and the 10-year government bond yields sank from 1.86% to 1.68%, the lowest level since early January.

Even though the greenback is expecting at least a 25bps rate hike for the next fortnight, the US dollar versus fellow havens JPY has moved sideways from the upward trend line, entering the consolidation phase.

According to the daily chart, the pair is finding their support above the 100 days moving average for now and struggling to regain control over the level at 114.8. The previous trend line has turned up the pressure level for the pair to strike for which could release some selling pressure in the area of $115.86-$116.

From a longer-term perspective, the momentum for the pair has waned but remains valid. The weekly candlestick stayed within the ascending moving trajectory and was supported by the 20-weekly MA. RSI is pointing south and is still glued to the 50 above the zone.

USD/JPY Daily Chart

USD/JPY Daily ChartSource: IG

USD/JPY Weekly Chart

USD/JPY Weekly ChartSource: IG

Take your position on over 13,000 local and international shares via CFDs or share trading – and trade it all seamlessly from the one account. Learn more about share CFDs or shares trading with us, or open an account to get started today.

Hebe Chen | Market Analyst, Australia
02 March 2022

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...