Jump to content

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and AUD/USD sidelined as traders assess Russia-Ukraine crisis


Recommended Posts

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and AUD/USD mixed as traders gauge impact of stepped-up sanctions on Russia.

Euro
Source: Bloomberg
 
 

EUR/USD remains above key support in the midst of Russia-Ukraine conflict

EUR/USD continues to hold above its May 2019, January and current February lows at $1.1122 to $1.1106 amid the fraught situation in Ukraine and stepped-up sanctions on Russia.

While this support area underpins, the early January and mid-February lows at $1.1272 to $1.128 may be revisited, just as they did on Friday. On the way there lies the $1.1186 November low.

As long as the cross stays below its one-month downtrend line and the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.1313 to $1.1324, however, downside pressure should remain in play. Failure at $1.1106 would have longer-term bearish implications with the April 2020 low at $1.1019 and the minor psychological $1.10 mark being in the spotlight.

EUR/USD chartSource: IT-Finance.com

EUR/GBP to remain above key support as traders assess developments in Ukraine

Last week EUR/GBP touched and then bounced off major support, comprising the January and early February lows at £0.8305 to £0.8286, as Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

On Friday EUR/GBP rallied all the way to £0.8408 before dropping back to its breached one-month resistance line, now support line, at £0.8348 in the Asian session.

Today the area between the 55-day SMA at £0.8389 and Friday’s high at £0.8408 is likely to cap with the 11 January low at £0.8324 offering minor support.

EUR/GBP chartSource: IT-Finance.com

AUD/USD recovers from support as traders digest impact of stepped-up Russian sanctions

Last week’s sharp AUD/USD sell-off in light of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine ended within the $0.7106 to $0.7083 support area being probed and it bouncing off it and rallying to Friday’s $0.7237 high. The support zone contains the August, late December and January lows and should continue to hold.

While this is the case, the mid-December high at $0.7223 and Friday’s $0.7237 high are being eyed as well as the 10 February peak at $0.7248.

The next higher four-month resistance line and last week’s high at $0.7276 to $0.7284 should prove difficult to overcome today, however.

AUD/USD chartSource: IT-Finance.com

Axel Rudolph | Market Analyst, London
28 February 2022
Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...