Jump to content

EUR/USD recovers on hopes of Eastern European de-escalation, EUR/GBP down and GBP/USD up on sterling strength


Recommended Posts

EUR/USD advances on waning war jitters while EUR/GBP slips and GBP/USD rises on Boris Johnson's announcement to remove all Covid-19 restrictions.

 
 

EUR/USD rises on hopes of Biden-Putin summit

EUR/USD is seen heading back up again after the US President Biden and the Russian President Putin agreed in principle to meet to discuss the Ukrainian crisis.

On the back of this news EUR/USD bounced off the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) and one-month support line at $1.133 to $1.1314 and is advancing towards the late November, December and last week’s highs at $1.1382 to $1.1396. This area will need to be exceeded, for the January and current February highs at $1.1482 to $1.1495 to be back in the frame.

Only a slide through minor support at today’s $1.1314 low could lead to last week’s low at $1.1281 and the early January low at $1.1272 being revisited.

EUR/USD chartSource: IT-Finance.com

The gradual EUR/GBP slide is ongoing

EUR/GBP continues to give back most of its early February swift advance in view of recent sterling strength, benefitting from a Covid-19 post-Omicron growth rebound and expectations for further Bank of England (BoE) interest rate hikes.

The mid-January trough at £0.8324 is currently being tested, below which beckons major support which remains to be seen between the January and early February lows at £0.8305 to £0.8286.

Minor resistance above the one-month resistance line at £0.8369 can be spotted at the £0.8381 November low and also at last week’s £0.8402 high and 55-day SMA at £0.8406.

EUR/GBP chartSource: IT-Finance.com

GBP/USD trades near four-week highs

Last week’s strong GBP/USD bounce off the $1.3513 to $1.349 mid-November high, 6 January and 7 February lows, has taken it to a one-month high close to the current February high at $1.3644. This is on the back of the pound sterling strengthening amid expectations for further BoE interest rate hikes and the removal of all remaining Covid-19 restrictions in England, fully opening up the economy.

The 200-day SMA at $1.3687 represents the first technical upside target, followed by the January peak at $1.3749.

Only a currently unexpected fall through last week’s $1.3487 low, would put the $1.348 to $1.3431 support zone back into the picture. It is comprised of the early as well as the 25 and 26 January lows and the 55-day SMA. Further down lies the January trough at $1.3359.

GBP/USD chartSource: IT-Finance.com
 
Axel Rudolph | Market Analyst, London
21 February 2022
Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...