Jump to content

Glencore share price uptrend supported by FY21 results


MongiIG

Recommended Posts

Glencore results show a v-shaped recovery and shareholders are being rewarded through dividend and buyback.

bg_Glencore.jpgSource: Bloomberg
 Shaun Murison | Senior Market Analyst, Johannesburg | Publication date: Wednesday 16 February 2022

Glencore preliminary results for FY 2021

Glencore has released preliminary results for the full year 2021 (FY21). These can be summarised as follows (FY21 vs FY20):

  • Revenue +43%
  • Adjusted EBITDA +84%
  • Earnings per share (EPS) $0.38 (-$0.14 in FY20)
  • Funds from operations +105%
  • Shareholder returns of $4.0 billion announced, comprising a proposed $0.26/share ($3.4 billion) base distribution in respect of 2021 cash flows, alongside a new $550 million share buyback program

The group has set aside $1.5 billion in provisions in lieu of ongoing investigations into conduct issues in the US, UK and Brazil which are expected to be resolved in 2022.

Glencore remains focused on decarbonisation efforts looking to sustainably deplete its coal operations over time. The company’s key metals (copper, zinc and nickel) align with cleaner green energy initiatives globally.

Strong cash flows from a v-shaped earnings recovery, manageable debt and good shareholder returns, combined with a core focus on global climate friendly commodities, suggest that the forward Price to Earnings multiple of roughly 6.7 times could be attractive for investors with a long-term time horizon on the stock.

Glencore – technical view

Glencore%201602.pngSource: ProRealTime

 

The share price of Glencore remains in an uptrend, although in the short-term the suggestion is that the share price is overbought.

Traders respecting the long-term uptrend might prefer to look for long entry into a correction from overbought territory, followed by a bullish price reversal at either the 408.15 or 387 support levels.

Longer term upside targets for the share are considered at 441.90 (recent high) and 452 (overhead trend line resistance).

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...