Jump to content

British Pound (GBP/USD) Supported by BoE Rate Expectations, De-Escalation Reports


Recommended Posts

GBP/USD Price, Chart, and Analysis

  • Heavyweight UK data will define the central bank’s next move.
  • GBP/USD buoyed by de-escalation hopes
British Pound (GBP/USD) Supported by BoE Rate Expectations, De-Escalation  Reports

The latest UK jobs and wages report will have pleased the hawks at the Bank of England with both sets of data beating market expectations, confirming the robust nature of the jobs sector.

UK Unemployment in Line, Wage Growth Adds Inflationary Pressure on BoE

On Wednesday, the latest UK inflation numbers will be released at 07:00 GMT and these will also be closely followed by the BoE. Both the jobs market and inflation are priorities for the central bank and a further increase in UK price pressures may well seal the deal for a 50 basis point rate hike at the March MPC meeting.

Keep up to date with all market-moving data releases and events by using the DailyFX Calendar

Sterling is pushing higher against the US dollar today as news begins to filter out that Russia is returning some of its troops back to base after conducting recent drills on the Ukrainian border. As ever, news flow can change in an instant so the latest move higher should be treated with some caution.

 

Cable is testing the recent 1.3572 double high and a break above here would leave the 1.3600/1.3610 as the next area of interest. On the downside, 1.3515/1.3530 should act as initial support for the pair.

GBP/USD DAILY PRICE CHART – FEBRUARY 15, 2022

British Pound (GBP/USD) Supported by BoE Rate Expectations, De-Escalation Reports

Retail trader data show 51.66% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.07 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 4.35% higher than yesterday and 8.91% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 5.70% higher than yesterday and 8.25% lower from last week

.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests GBP/USD prices may continue to fall. Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current GBP/USD price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.

image.png

What is your view on GBP/USD – bullish or bearish?

 

 

Feb 15, 2022 |  Nick Cawley, Strategist. 15th Feb 2022. DailyFX

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...