Jump to content

EU Breaking News: Flash PMI Indicates November Expansion, Euro Higher


Recommended Posts

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

  • EU business activity shows growth despite COVID-19 fears.
  • Spotlight on U.S. PMI later today.

EU Breaking News: Flash PMI Indicates November Expansion, Euro Higher

NOVEMBER PMI SURPRISE BEAT PUSHES EURO HIGHER

Eurozone PMI exceeded expectations this morning:

  • Composite = 55.8, EST 53.2
  • Manufacturing = 58.6, EST 57.3

A reading above 50 is suggestive of an expanding economy which was expected after Germany and France gave some indication to the estimate beat this morning when both countries announced positive prints. This may come as a surprise to many considering the current COVID-19 situation in Europe, and was reflected post-announcement with the Euro trading marginally higher against the greenback.

Closing off 2021 high energy prices, supply bottlenecks and COVID-19 concerns are likely to remain and hinder EU economic growth. This will not bode well for Euro bulls and could see further depreciation against the dollar.

PMI DATA:

Eurozone PMI

Source: DailyFX Economic Calendar

The U.S. dollar gained further ground on the Euro yesterday after Fed Chair Jerome Powell was reelected. Markets consider Powell the “hawkish” choice but in reality he is far from a hawk, which leads me to believe the dollar rally will correct itself short-term. Later today, U.S. PMI data (see calendar above) could swing momentum back in favor of EUR/USD bears – data dependent.

EUR/USD DAILY CHART

EUR/USD daily chart

Chart prepared by Warren Venketas, IG

 

By Warren Venketas, Analyst, 23rd November 2021. DailyFX

Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...