Jump to content

Where will Wall Street go from here?


Recommended Posts

Here is some expert technical analysis for you to enjoy, you lucky cretins :)

Wall Street hit the magical 88.6% retracement and flopped out!  The MACD is very far above zero and is now about to cross down below the signal line!  An ominous sign indeed!  This suggests momentum is flagging!  And the price is a million light years above its 200 daily MA, so a nice little 'dump' is in order a la 'reversion to the mean'!

Against this view is the fact that we have price above 20 and 50 MAs and the fact that 20 MA crossed 50 MA.  But those candles don't portend price rises in the future!

 

Wall Street_20201020_04.07 (1).png

Edited by dmedin
Link to comment

59% of IG clients are short on this index.

Most of IG's clients lose money, but I've found that you can't just take a position opposite to them and expect to win reliably.  (This is partly because the number that IG publishes is dubious and might be incorrect, BTW.)

The fact is that most of IG's retail clients will lose money whether they go long or short.  It's worth paying attention to this number but get it from an alternative source, like DailyFX or program your own thing-a-ma-jig to pull the raw data.  😘

Link to comment

Wall Street did indeed break our level.  We were just too hasty to put a trade on (by going long not only once but twice).  If you zoom out on the hourly chart you see it is in a downtrend, no need for a MA.  We went long because we thought we saw a support area being respected, but forgot that you need confirmation of a new high (and especially so when price has been moving down sharply).  Also the daily candles were not strong.

 

Wall Street_20201022_01.53.png

Link to comment
5 hours ago, dmedin said:

Wall Street did indeed break our level.  We were just too hasty to put a trade on (by going long not only once but twice).  If you zoom out on the hourly chart you see it is in a downtrend, no need for a MA.  We went long because we thought we saw a support area being respected, but forgot that you need confirmation of a new high (and especially so when price has been moving down sharply).  Also the daily candles were not strong.

 

Wall Street_20201022_01.53.png

looks quite directionless to me, and now roughly back at a level around which we've been oscillating for two months:

687578318_WallStreet_20201022_02_36.thumb.png.1a86c683634a11460cce156cdc3f8df0.png

I'd say high rebound probability, the slightly lower low at this stage is not significant enough IMHO

 

US 500_20201022_02.42.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...