Jump to content

GBP/USD


FiringSquad13

Recommended Posts

Any thoughts on where this will go.  Currently above the support line but a break of the support line could see a big drop.

 

I suppose again the crucial factor is the interest rate.  I see conflicting articles on this daily.  Over the weekend BofE govenor Mark Carney has said that he has not been close to voting to raise rates.  

 

I will be watching UK GDP figures Wednesday.  0.7% for Q2 expected.  Also 2.6% y/y.  Then of course NFPs on Friday.  Last month's 173k was well below market expectations.  Expecting 203k this release.

 

chart.png

Link to comment

Hey Firing Squad,

 

I want to be long GBPJPY and short EURGBP.

I like the prospects for the GBP but the USD I feel will continue to get stronger.

Japan and Europe continue to have monetary policy pointing to easing further and so I believe are a good short on the other side of wanting to be long GBP

 

What do you think?

Link to comment

hi FiringSquad - it is two days later and we are still in that ballpark (GBP/USD now, 30/9/2015 at 14:00 gmt on 15171) - not really moving. Also seeing conflicting realizations on analysis and fundemetal info every day - HUGE uncertainty.... I am a GBP bull, so...

 

Will be interesting when we talk again in, say, a week or so ???/

 

Happy days

Link to comment
  • 1 month later...

Hey Jason,

 

US rate rise coming this month.

I expect the USD will be strong until then so the Pound should continue to weaken this week.

 

My feeling is there won't be another rise in rates for a while after this one.

This should see a good bounce coming post the rates decision.

 

Just my thoughts and I will be trading accordingly.

 

Cheers,

 

JB.

Link to comment

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Posts

    • Sainsburys full year earnings and Unilever’s first quarter trading update both say the same thing, UK consumers are in for higher prices. The war in Ukraine, supply chain issues and the effects of ongoing Covid all to blame.      
    • US Dollar (DXY) Daily Price and Analysis US Q1 GDP may stall the greenback’s advance. A 20-year high nears for the US dollar. The multi-month US dollar rally continues with the greenback printing a fresh high today ahead of the first look at US Q1 GDP at 12.30 GMT. The US dollar basket (DXY) has been boosted by renewed weakness in the Euro and the Japanese Yen, as investors move from lower-yielding to higher-yielding currencies, while safe-haven flows continue to benefit the greenback. The US growth release later in the session is expected to show a sharp slowdown from the robust Q4 figure of 6.9%. The markets are currently pricing in growth of just 1% for the first three months of this year, with the slowdown mainly due to a reduction in inventory accrual over the quarter. This release is unlikely to move the greenback, unless there is a large miss or beat, as the Fed believe that 2022 US growth will be robust enough to let them tighten monetary policy sharply without damaging the economy. The latest US Core PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation reading – is released on Friday and this may have more effect on the US dollar than today’s GDP data. For all market moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX Calendar. The ongoing US dollar rally has been aided by weakness across a range of G7 currencies including the Euro, the Japanese Yen, and the British Pound. The Euro continues to battle with lowly growth expectations, exacerbated by energy concerns, the British Pound is mired by weak economic data, while the Japanese Yen is in freefall as the BoJ continues with its ultra-loose monetary policy.   The US dollar continues to press higher and looks set to break above 103.96, the March 2020 high. Above here the US dollar would be back at levels last seen nearly two decades ago. The March resistance will likely hold in the short-term, especially with month-end portfolio rebalancing at the end of the week, but US dollar strength is set to continue in the months ahead. USDOLLAR (DXY) WEEKLY PRICE CHART – APRIL 28, 2022 {{THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?   Apr 28, 2022 | DailyFX Nick Cawley, Strategist
    • While Tesla has nothing directly to do with Elon Musk buying Twitter - TSLA stock closed down 12% on news that Musk may have to sell stock and use other holdings to stand against the loan to finalise the purchase of the social media giant.        
×
×
  • Create New...